Sports betting can be extremely profitable if anyone know the secrets and techniques often the “smart money” gamblers use to consistently make funds. One of the biggest secrets that sensible money gamblers use will be knowing when NOT to help bet.
Here’s a perfect example. I actually analyzed often the Western side California vs. Louisville sport, and concluded of which West Florida had the edge in the sport. Yet , I also realized that there have been a whole lot of random and capricious factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not bet on this specific game. Here is the analysis I released in advance of the game:
West Florida or Louisville
This game provides all the indicators of being one involving the best games regarding the year, using each teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, using Western Virginia coming rear from getting down large in the independence day 1 / 4 to winning within overtime.
So what’s the action appear like this year?
In the event that this sport were appearing played in the fairly neutral field, West Va would probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since often the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…
West Virginia can be on an unprecedented move. UFABET haven’t lost since Oct. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they dropped to Virginia Tech. Through the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last nine game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 HIGHWAY games.
These types of are some very outstanding stats that tilt often the scales in favor involving WVU regarding tonight’s online game. Plus, often the extra added bonus is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This may not seem to be like quite a bit, but in a close match-up this way, that special point might make the change between a push and a loss.
But some of us wonder what about Louisville?
Louisville’s figures are generally almost as good while WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their previous 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS inside their previous 10 home game titles.
In addition to if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t lost at home since December 16, 2003! During this existing run Louisville is averaging 49. some points for each game in the home, while hitting only stopping 15. six points per game at home. In case you did not do the math, that means considering that their very own last home damage they already have averaged beating their own opposing team by about thirty four points per game.
What’s more amazing, the average line during these games has only already been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten typically the range, on average, by 13 things per activity at home due to the fact 2003.
Wow… how can you not in favor of that?
Here’s the way…
Nearly all of those stats have been accumulated during the june 2006 season. In 2010, 2006, Louisville has been closer to great than great. They also have experienced recent games that has they have already only scored 35, 12, 24 points. These video games weren’t against Kansas E. or Michigan. They will were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.
The end result is that this is still a good close video game to get in touch with. Yet the things i look to get is West Virginia’s protection to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s virtually no explanation to think WVU can’t hold them to the particular low to mid 20’s. My honest advice will be to lay off that game and definitely not guess at all. There are usually better game titles this saturday and sunday with more clear-cut strengths.
The final score in this game was Louisville 46, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to return some sort of punt for a TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s advantage has not been so big that they can can still win soon after doing so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on this particular video game, people significant concerning wagering saved money they can put to better make use of on approaching games.